Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Mulligans, Goats, Gameshows, and you

Introduction:
In this post I am going to discuss a trick for not letting the mulligan tilt you. Granted it won’t always work, we’re all susceptible to cognitive and emotional biases. However, I find the underlying logic of the Game Show Door Problem helps me avoid negative thoughts when I see a hand post-mulligan. I don’t write this article to make you feel better about a crappy hand you get to ship away, but hope to help you feel at ease with the new hand you are dealt. Now, on to our scenario!